Economie

Heglig’s Fall: A Turning Point in Sudan’s Conflict?

The recent capture of Heglig, a key oil city in South Kordofan, by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) marks a critical juncture in the ongoing Sudanese conflict. According to Brigadier General Elias Hanna, a military and strategic expert, this development facilitates the RSF’s advance from Darfur towards the White Nile, potentially creating a geographical divide between western and eastern Sudan.

Heglig, located in West Kordofan, houses one of Sudan’s largest oil fields. The Sudanese army has confirmed its withdrawal from the city, citing the need to protect vital infrastructure. The government has accused the RSF of causing Chinese oil companies to suspend operations due to the deteriorating security situation.

Hanna explained that the expansion of fighting from El Fasher in North Darfur to Babanusa and Heglig in West Kordofan demonstrates the RSF’s strategy to control key territories and resources. He emphasized that Heglig provides a strategic pathway towards the White Nile, a natural boundary that could effectively isolate western Sudan.

The current conflict spans over 1.8 million square kilometers, making control of oil and gold-rich areas a crucial factor in the balance of power. The army faces significant logistical challenges across these vast frontlines. Heglig is a vital hub for oil extraction, refining, and transportation. It has been targeted by RSF drone attacks in the past, and government sources report that supply lines have collapsed, and foreign investments have been negatively impacted by the escalating security crisis.

Regarding the army’s withdrawal, Brigadier General Hanna attributed it to its “field isolation” and weakened supply capabilities across extensive operational areas. He noted that traditional warfare involving tanks and aircraft requires stability, which the army currently lacks, unlike the RSF’s ability to move and maneuver. He further suggested that developments in El Fasher and Babanusa reflect a pattern of pressure on army positions. The upcoming test will be in Kadugli, South Kordofan, a military command center that will determine the army’s ability to establish defensive lines in the south.

The capture of Heglig underscores the escalating intensity and geographical expansion of the conflict, raising concerns about the future unity and stability of Sudan. DZWatch will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates as they become available.

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