The Canadian military has reportedly developed a model simulating a response to a hypothetical invasion by the United States. This comes amid renewed suggestions from President Donald Trump regarding the potential annexation of Canada.
According to sources familiar with the matter, the Canadian response strategy focuses on tactics mirroring those employed by insurgents in Afghanistan against Soviet and, later, American forces. This approach acknowledges the significant disparity in military resources between the two nations.
While sources suggest an actual invasion order from President Trump is unlikely, his rhetoric regarding Canada has raised concerns. Following his re-election in 2024, Trump has repeatedly referred to Canada as the 51st U.S. state, asserting that annexation would benefit Canadians.
Despite a lull in such pronouncements in recent months, President Trump recently shared an image on social media depicting a map of Canada overlaid with the American flag, alongside Venezuela. This action was interpreted as an indication of his desire for control over both countries.
Sources indicate that in the event of an invasion, U.S. forces could likely secure key Canadian locations by land and sea within approximately two days. Given Canada’s limited military capabilities relative to the United States, the simulated response emphasizes an insurgency-style campaign, incorporating ambushes and hit-and-run tactics.
The developed model is described as a conceptual and theoretical framework, rather than a concrete military plan. It serves as a practical guide, outlining specific steps for operational execution in a hypothetical scenario.
The Canadian military has not yet issued an official comment regarding the report. It is anticipated that any U.S. plans for an invasion of Canada would be preceded by clear indicators, including the termination of bilateral cooperation within the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD).
In such a scenario, Canada would likely seek assistance from allies such as Great Britain and France. President Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney are both scheduled to attend the World Economic Forum in Davos this week.
